ebola
Assessing the international spreading risk associated with the 2014 West African Ebola outbreak
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THE 2014 WEST AFRICAN EBOLA OUTBREAK is so far the largest and deadliest recorded in history. The affected countries, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and recently Senegal have been struggling to contain and to mitigate the outbreak.
We have developed a modeling framework aimed at assessing the progression of the 2014 Ebola epidemic in West Africa and the associated risk of international spread. The global spreading risk assessment uses a data-driven global stochastic and spatial epidemic model that generates stochastic simulations of epidemic spread worldwide. For the detailed within-country analysis, we developed a spatial agent-based model that integrates specific regional sociodemographic data. The collaboration
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Published Papers and Editorials
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Our results have been published in PLOS Currents Outbreaks, Eurosurveillance and the Lancet Infectious Diseases. Our modeling work has been motivated by the need for a rapid assessment of the EVD outbreak trends and the obtained results may change as more information becomes available from the EVD affected region and more refined sensitivity analysis can be implemented computationally.
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PLOS CURRENTS OUTBREAKS
Assessing the international spreading risk associated with the 2014 West African Ebola outbreak View ➝ THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis View ➝ |
Air traffic connections from West African countries to the rest of the world
Ebola: One year later
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